Showing posts with label uncertainty. Show all posts
Showing posts with label uncertainty. Show all posts

Sunday, June 29, 2014

How to Mathematically Predict Potential YouTube Views


Recently, I was looking at my YouTube analytics and I noticed a pattern in my statistics. I figured that I can accurately predict potential views in the future by finding a function that closely correlates to my statistics.

1. I suggest that you go to your analytics and look at your accumulative views (as shown in the videos). Grab a pen and some paper and write down the values. Your x values will be the number of days, and your y values will be the number of views you have acquired on that day. Copy down these values onto the paper.

2. Grab your graphing calculator. I'm using a TI-83 Plus. Press STAT. Press Edit... Plug in your x values in the L1 table, and plug views in the L2 table.

3. To make sure your data shows up on your calculator, press "y=" and make sure that Plot1 is highlighted. To high Plot1, hover the cursor above Plot1 and press enter. Then press GRAPH and dots should appear. You may need to adjust your window.

4. Now to find an appropriate function for your data, press STAT. Move over to CALC. Now there should be a list of functions--quadratic, exponential, sinusoidal, etc.--and choose one that would most likely fit with your data points. If you don't know how these functions look like, then you might have to go through each one and see what function works. Once you found a function press the function. I used ExpReg for my data. Press enter again, and it should give you values for that specific funtion.

5. Now take that data and plug it into the "y=". Press GRAPH. The graph should correlate closely to your data.

6. To look at your projections, press 2nd and GRAPH. An x and y graph should appear. Now you can look at all your projections in the future. The units are in days. For my channel, the function predicts that in 30 days I should have close to 7,000 views!

*****PLEASE READ*****

Although these stats look promising, it DOES NOT guarantee that you will obtain the predicted views. However, if you continue what you have been doing on YouTube, it is more likely that these predictions can become true. THESE ARE NOT CERTAIN PREDICTIONS!!!

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Einstein's Thought Experiment


This morning I woke up in my Buggati, and I was wondering what if my car's speedometer reached the speed of light, 3x10^8 m/s. If my Buggati (I don't really have a Buggati) reached that electromagnetic speed, my car would transform from a Buggati to a DeLorean. However Albert Einstein thought up this scenario with trains or rockets before I did with my fictitious Bugatti.

Einstein's thought experiment derived a time-altering equation by using simple mathematics--algebra and the Pythagorean Theorem.


In Special Relativity, the speed of light is an universal constant; however, in General Relativity, a more complicated topic, light can be altered or bent in space time by gravity. The speed of light is a misnomer because there are other things--gamma rays, radio waves, X-Rays, microwaves, and Gravitons (if they exist)--that have the identical speed. Instead of the speed of light it should be appropriately called the electromagnetic speed.

For time travel to be plausible, the speed of light has to remain constant in any reference frame. For example, there is a car that is traveling at 40 m/s and there is a truck traveling behind it at 39 m/s. The truck will perceive--in its reference frame--that the car is traveling at 1 m/s. However, if the car is traveling at the speed of light, 3x10^8 m/s, and the truck is traveling at 2.8x10^8 m/s, the truck will still perceive the car traveling at 3x10^8 m/s instead of 0.2x10^8 m/s. With that being said, the equation that was derived from the video proves that time travel to the future is possible--not to the past. By traveling at the speed of light, time is infinitely slowed down--basically stopping time. To acquire this speed, however, is completely impractical; it will take an enormous amount of energy to accelerate to the speed of light, and humans--more than likely--will not withstand that force (F=ma).

But that's no fun. Let's say that time travel is possible. With time travel comes interesting paradoxes like the Grandfather Paradox...


or Stephen Hawking's experiment.


Although time travel does not appear possible by the last two videos, keep in mind these videos prove that time travel into the past is impossible. So there is still a chance that time travel into the future is possible.

Monday, June 9, 2014

Dead or Alive?


Quantum physics generates many profound metaphors that relate to the fundamental functions of the universe and our lives. Imagine a cat within a box that cannot escape. The lid of the box is closed, and there is no possible way of determining the cat's condition--dead or alive--without lifting the lid. This forces the observer to assume that the cat is both alive and dead simultaneously. Fortunately, when the box is open, the cat is alive.

This relates to one of the most bizarre experiments that have been done in quantum physics; it's called the double slit experiment. A physicist, Thomas Young, shot a laser through two narrow slits that landed on a wall behind them. Unexpectedly, the laser created vertical streams of light instead of two beams of light.


For this to happen, light has to be a wave; however, when the slits are a bit wider, the laser creates one stream of light as expected which means light is a particle. In the metaphor, the cat is both alive and dead in the box. The same goes for light; light is both a particle and a wave until observed. Bizarre, light seems to have complete control of it's state; it chooses to be a wave at the quantum level, but also it chooses to be a particle on a larger scale. Why does this happen?




This topic relates more than just to physics; it relates to our lives. We dream of the future; we want to alter the future; we want a pleasant future. However we get caught up in this fourth dimensional lifestyle that we forget about the present. You see, life is full of probabilities. This may happen or that may happen--no guarantee. Instead, you should accept what life throws at you because the most unexpected thing may happen, and that curve ball may hit you in the face. Accept life as it is. Assume that every possibility is equivalent to each other. Prepare yourself for the unexpected. Enjoy life not the dream that may happen.